Anonymous asked:
What's your opinion on Eroom's law ?
I don’t know.
I recently learned that the main reason planes haven’t been getting any faster lately is because there’s a really nonlinear discontinuity in fuel requirements as you get close to the speed of sound, to the point where it becomes economically prohibitive. This seemed really interesting to me as an example of apparent technological stagnation actually having a meaningful physical-sciences explanation (although poorly-written regulation around sonic booms doesn’t help either). It does seem to me that we’ve cracked certain easy diseases where your thyroid is ten times normal size or something, and we’re left with really complicated things that require full knowledge of the immune system.
I don’t want to rule out “science has gotten worse” either. Now that Peter Thiel is Official Shadow President, I hope he does something useful about this. Maybe make Michael Vassar Secretary of Energy.
Overregulation of drugs is really bad, but I doubt it’s to blame. Drug companies still really really want good blockbuster drugs and if there were really good ones they would spend whatever it took to push it through. Overregulation of the pharmaceutical industry probably prevents a lot of marginal drugs from existing, and makes existing drugs cost much more, but I doubt it’s the reason we haven’t cured schizophrenia.